10/25/2024
Ava Grace
Presidential race polling shows that Trump has gained ground in several key swing states, with polling firm Rasmussen projecting a win for Trump in Pennsylvania. Rasmussen Reports' head pollster, Mark Mitchell, said other polls had oversampled Democrats, overestimating Harris' true level of support. He noted similar trends in the 2020 election as polls overestimated support for Joe Biden.
The latest election data from the critical swing state of Arizona shows that Trump is leading his Democratic opponent 51 to 48 percent. With just over two weeks until Election Day, Trump's three-point lead indicates that the Republican nominee is gaining momentum – likely across the entire Sun Belt.
A similar survey by YouGov, conducted on behalf of CBS, showed that nearly 70 percent of Arizonans say things in America are going somewhat or very badly. Meanwhile, 65 percent of those surveyed say they believe the current economic conditions are fairly or very bad.
Polls also show that Trump has made significant gains among traditionally Democratic-voting ethnic minorities, including the Hispanic vote – which is crucial for winning Arizona and Nevada, where they comprise around 30 percent of the population – as well as Black men.
Trump has also gained ground among Muslims and Arab Americans. Trump was recently endorsed by the mayor of Hamtramck, Michigan, the country's only city with a Muslim-majority population, and the Pakistani American Public Affairs Committee.
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